Tuesday, February 21, 2012

It's time

Well I think we arrived to that point, the trade of the decade as some might say.  I started shorting Treasury Notes futures and Bonds.  The yields on the 10yr and 30yr look like they will finally jump higher, crushing prices on their way.  I played it with futures, but you could short the TLT or go long the TBT etf.

Here's the 10yr yield.  Looking like it will grind higher, making the 10yr note falling in price.

The same thing with the big boy, the 30yr yield which is a bit more volatile.

Here's the TLT ETF, short that bad boy with all you got.

 And finally the opposite of TLT, the TBT which replicates the short long-dated treasurys position. GET LONG.


Monday, February 13, 2012

Is it time to get long Natural Gas ?

The Supply of Natural Gas is just insanely high, and the demand is way too low to cover. So there is a lot of pressure for the price to go down. And if the republicans are elected and start the Hydraulic Fracking it could add even more supply to the market .. but then again the demand would grind higher too.

Anyway, I think that Natural Gas prices are very low, and with crude prices going higher, I think we could see a little switch from Oil to NG.

Wednesday, February 1, 2012

Linkedin Corp

I think we should be more and more cautious with all these new companies emerging in the public offering world.
It reminds me of the Internet bubble that blew up in 2000.

One of these companies is LinkedIn. I am starting a short position on it.
I just don't believe that a company that has a P/E of 1,447 can continue to please the shareholders for long.

Starting a short @ 72.00$

Wednesday, January 25, 2012

Volume precedes price ?

I watched today a video on Bloomberg of Joe Granville.  He's predicting that markets have made a top and will start falling for the remaining of the year.

According to him, volumes precedes price.  So we would see lower volumes before seeing the prices dropping.

Here's a chart of the total volume traded in the US stock market, I'll let you draw your own conclusions !

Monday, January 23, 2012

Research in Motion (RIMM)

Research in Motion keeps hitting the headlines with bad news ... day after day.
I think that it can't get worse and that all the bad news are priced in.

If the stock goes over 16$, I would get long for a very nice trade, I would keep it until it hits 35$.

Like I said, it can't get any worse than that :) 

The Imperatore